City-level housing affordability

Country medians hide the cities. London is roughly 1.5Γ— the UK median; Sydney is 1.7Γ— the Australia median. If you live in or are moving to a major metro, the city ratio is the one that matters.

City vs country price-to-income

CityCity P/ICountry P/IPremium
πŸ‡­πŸ‡°Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR
consistently the world's least affordable major market
19.6Γ—19.6Γ—1.00Γ—
πŸ‡³πŸ‡±Amsterdam, Netherlands
supply-constrained, no greenfield growth
14.2Γ—12.6Γ—1.13Γ—
πŸ‡¦πŸ‡ΊSydney, Australia
land-use restrictions + foreign demand
13.8Γ—7.9Γ—1.75Γ—
πŸ‡΅πŸ‡ΉLisbon, Portugal
tourism + golden visa premium
13.7Γ—7.8Γ—1.76Γ—
πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅Tokyo, Japan
modest by local-historical standards (1990 was 18Γ—)
13.1Γ—7.8Γ—1.68Γ—
πŸ‡«πŸ‡·Paris, France
city centre is far above the national line
12.5Γ—9.2Γ—1.36Γ—
πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦Vancouver, Canada
consistently among the least affordable in N. America
12.3Γ—9.0Γ—1.37Γ—
πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§London, United Kingdom
global financial centre premium
12.0Γ—7.8Γ—1.54Γ—
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΈLos Angeles, United States
supply-constrained metro
9.7Γ—5.1Γ—1.90Γ—
πŸ‡³πŸ‡ΏAuckland, New Zealand
limited buildable land + immigration
9.5Γ—7.9Γ—1.20Γ—
πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺBerlin, Germany
rapid 2014-2024 catch-up; rent caps debated
9.5Γ—6.5Γ—1.46Γ—
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΈSan Francisco, United States
tech wages + zoning
9.0Γ—5.1Γ—1.76Γ—
πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦Toronto, Canada
bigger than national average
9.0Γ—9.0Γ—1.00Γ—
πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ΈMadrid, Spain
post-2015 price recovery
8.9Γ—6.0Γ—1.48Γ—
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΈNew York City, United States
city-wide; Manhattan is well above this
8.4Γ—5.1Γ—1.65Γ—

How to read the city premium

  • City premium = city ratio Γ· country ratio. 1.0 = same as the country average; 2.0 = twice as expensive relative to local wages.
  • Most major metros sit at 1.3-1.7Γ— the national P/I. Outliers above 2.0Γ— (Lisbon, Hong Kong, parts of London) are typically supply-constrained or subject to large outside-capital flows.
  • The country median is still useful even if you live in a metro: it sets the local mortgage rate, the lender DTI culture, and the minimum down-payment regime.

Sources

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